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JOB REPORT / 15-2011 · 15 TASKS

Actuaries.

Can AI do the work of Actuaries?

Mostly it works alongside you. Here is what shifts, task by task.

YOUR EXPERIENCE MATTERS

How does this fit your work?

How many tasks do you use AI to assist with at work?

Drag the dot. There’s no wrong answer; it starts at our estimate.

Starting pointOur estimate

The mark shows what’s typical for this job.

The parts of your job AI can already do most of:

  • Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability…
  • Construct probability tables for events
  • Ascertain premium rates required and cash reserves and liabilities…

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A guided certificate program in AI-assisted Actuaries work. It covers the 15 AI-affected parts of your job and ends in a capstone a person reviews.

WHAT WE LOOKED AT

Your job, task by task.

15 of 15 tasks reviewed

We went through all 15 core tasks in this job, one at a time.

Task by task, from the work Actuaries actually do. How we describe AI use in each task is our own read of it, not a measurement of whether AI can replace the job.

  1. TASK 01

    Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates.

    AI DOES

    Processes mortality tables, runs statistical models, and surfaces rate trends from large datasets

    YOU DO

    Apply professional judgment about which assumptions match real business and social context

  2. TASK 02

    Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.

    AI DOES

    Cleans datasets, runs statistical models, and drafts initial probability distributions quickly

    YOU DO

    Judge which assumptions are sound, catch edge cases AI misses, and stand behind the final numbers professionally

  3. TASK 03

    Ascertain premium rates required and cash reserves and liabilities necessary to ensure payment of future benefits.

    AI DOES

    Runs calculations, builds projection models, flags assumption sensitivities, and drafts reserve estimates from historical data

    YOU DO

    Own the final assumptions, validate model logic against real-world risk, and sign off on regulatory filings

  4. TASK 04

    Design, review, and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums.

    AI DOES

    Runs calculations, models risk scenarios, flags data anomalies, and drafts plan documents

    YOU DO

    Own the final judgment on plan soundness, regulatory compliance, and client-specific decisions

  5. TASK 05

    Determine, or help determine, company policy, and explain complex technical matters to company executives, government officials, shareholders, policyholders, or the public.

    AI DOES

    Drafts plain-language summaries, builds slides, and flags key data points from complex reports

    YOU DO

    Own the room — read the audience, answer hard questions live, and earn stakeholder trust

  6. TASK 06

    Determine equitable basis for distributing surplus earnings under participating insurance and annuity contracts in mutual companies.

    AI DOES

    Runs dividend allocation models, stress-tests distribution formulas, and flags inequities across policyholder cohorts

    YOU DO

    Weigh competing fairness principles and own the final equity judgment

  7. TASK 07

    Explain changes in contract provisions to customers.

    AI DOES

    Drafts clear, simple summaries of complex contract changes in plain language

    YOU DO

    Read the customer's situation and decide what to emphasize

  8. TASK 08

    Manage credit and help price corporate security offerings.

    AI DOES

    Screens credit data, runs pricing models, and flags risk patterns in large datasets

    YOU DO

    Apply market intuition and client context to final pricing decisions

  9. TASK 09

    Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business.

    AI DOES

    Drafts reports, summarizes data, and models scenarios to prep for meetings

    YOU DO

    Lead the real conversations and build trust across teams

  10. TASK 10

    Testify before public agencies on proposed legislation affecting businesses.

    AI DOES

    Drafts testimony, summarizes relevant data, and flags key risk points

    YOU DO

    Show up in person, respond to live questions, and apply professional judgment under scrutiny

  11. TASK 11

    Negotiate terms and conditions of reinsurance with other companies.

    AI DOES

    Drafts term sheets, summarizes contract language, models pricing scenarios, and flags unusual clauses

    YOU DO

    Build trust with counterparties and make final judgment calls on acceptable risk and deal terms

  12. TASK 12

    Testify in court as expert witness or to provide legal evidence on matters such as the value of potential lifetime earnings of a person disabled or killed in an accident.

    AI DOES

    Crunches mortality tables, runs lifetime earnings models, and drafts supporting reports

    YOU DO

    Show up in court, answer tough questions live, and defend your reasoning under pressure

  13. TASK 13SOURCE-BACKED TASK

    Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant.

    AI DOES

    Researches background and suggests solution frameworks

    YOU DO

    Read the client and tailor your wisdom

    About this analysis

    20% · Methodology: exposure-v1 · Analysis date: unavailable · Confidence: medium

  14. TASK 14SOURCE-BACKED TASK

    Provide expertise to help financial institutions manage risks and maximize returns associated with investment products or credit offerings.

    AI DOES

    Analyzes market data and calculates risk metrics

    YOU DO

    Interpret context and make final calls

    About this analysis

    20% · Methodology: exposure-v1 · Analysis date: unavailable · Confidence: medium

  15. TASK 15SOURCE-BACKED TASK

    Determine policy contract provisions for each type of insurance.

    AI DOES

    Suggests standard clauses and coverage options

    YOU DO

    Choose what fits each client's risk

    About this analysis

    0% · Methodology: exposure-v1 · Analysis date: unavailable · Confidence: medium

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Data sources and attribution

This page includes information from the O*NET 30.3 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. rtwoai has modified all or some of this information. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA.

Wage and employment figures are from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (2025). Job outlook is from the BLS Employment Projections program, 2024–34. BLS data are in the public domain. BLS has not reviewed or endorsed this page.

Task collaboration data is from the Anthropic Economic Index, release 2025-03-27, used under the CC BY 4.0 license. Anthropic has not reviewed or endorsed this page.

How we describe AI use in each task is our own characterization, not a measurement of whether AI can replace this job. Microsoft note that their metrics "should not be misconstrued or misrepresented as measuring the ability of AI to replace jobs," and that there is more to an occupation than the sum of its tasks.

Can AI do the work of Actuaries? — rtwoai